Publications
Peer-reviewed journal articles
Jacobs, N.F., Moland, M. and Parsons, C.A. (2025). Do Citizens Have Views about Single Market Governance? Publius: The Journal of Federalism.
To what degree do citizens hold structured views about the governance of openness in multi-jurisdictional markets? This article presents the results of a preregistered experiment that assesses public attribution of governmental authority with respect to five issues central to market integration. We fielded the survey in the world’s two largest single markets, the United States and the European Union (EU). Across the nine sampled countries (N = 17,304), we find that EU residents are statistically more likely to make federal or geographic distinctions than American respondents, especially in the areas of goods regulations and standardized benefits for workers. We also find that certain subgroups are more likely to favor decentralized policy approaches to single market issues: those skeptical of regulation, those who are less trusting of government, and select partisan affiliates. Europeans’ relatively greater responsiveness is most plausibly explained, we argue, as a result of institutional mobilization. The EU’s single market project has fed back on European societies to attract citizens’ attention to the EU’s core goals of cross-border openness.
Jacobs, N.F., Moland, M. and Parsons, C.A. (2025). Postfunctionalism across the Atlantic: The “New Politics” in European Integration and US Federalism Publius: The Journal of Federalism.
The European Union’s internal market was modeled in part on the United States’ national market, yet public attitudes toward market governance in the two arenas have long been understood through different theoretical lenses. In this article, we apply the postfunctionalist theory of European integration—developed to explain EU citizens’ attitudes toward supranational authority—to American federalism, testing whether cultural identity divides (GAL/TAN) shape public opinion on central market governance in the United States as they do in Europe. Using an original survey of 16,000 respondents across eight EU countries and 4,000 Americans, we find that postfunctionalist dynamics are robust in both contexts, challenging prevailing views that American attitudes toward federalism are driven primarily by Left–Right ideology or material interests. Our findings suggest that identity-based contestation over governance extends beyond the EU’s nation-state politics, requiring a broader theoretical framework to understand the intersection of culture, federalism, and economic integration across advanced democracies.
Moland, M. (2025). Reinforcing or Rethinking? What Do News Consumers Want From Journalism in the Post-Truth Era? Media and Communications.
Policymakers and news producers have long grappled with the challenges that fake news and misinformation pose to quality journalism. This has given rise to an extensive body of literature, covering various aspects from the characteristics of fake news to strategies for addressing it. However, the preferences of news consumers regarding the future of journalism and their views on how journalistic commitment to truth can best be maintained remain relatively overlooked in scholarly research. This article utilizes primary data from a survey (N = 4,521) fielded in Norway, Italy, and Poland in 2023 to show that, even in contemporary media environments, people continue to regard traditional journalistic ideals as the normative goals for future journalism. This suggests that journalists in an age of post-truth should focus less on rethinking journalism and more on adhering to its traditional goals of unbiased dissemination of facts.
Moland, M. (2025). Opting out of an EU identity? The effect of differentiated integration on European identity. Journal of European Public Policy.
The link between European institutions and European identities remains an under-explored question. Similarly, we know little about how countries opting out of European integration have shaped their citizens' view of themselves as more or less European. Using general synthetic control models and data from 1983–2020 I find that people in countries with opt-outs tend to identify as more strongly European in the years after an opt-out is implemented, but that this effect can only be described as causal where the opt-outs were the result of bottom-up demand for more sovereignty in specific areas. This shows that providing individual countries with greater autonomy may strengthen their citizens' attachment to Europe, but that any such effect is likely to depend on domestic variations in for instance elite politicization of European integration.
Moland, M. (2024). Comparing elite and citizen attitudes towards the differentiated implementation of EU law: Evidence from a large-N survey of citizens, politicians and bureaucrats. West European Politics.
Transnational regulatory harmonization is a key building block of the international legal order. However, we know little about how elite and citizen views of it differ. Using data from a Norwegian survey from 2023 this article finds both citizen-elite and intra-elite gaps in perceptions of legal harmonization: First, citizens are significantly less likely to support legal harmonization than bureaucrats. In contrast, the article finds that their views of it are similar to those of all but the most Eurosceptic politicians. Furthermore, while the attitudes of bureaucrats only differ significantly from those of strongly Eurosceptic politicians, bureaucrats with a ministry or legal background hold views of legal harmonization significantly different from those of other civil servants. Future studies of public and elite opinion of international cooperation must thus theorize more clearly how the elite-citizen gap may vary for different elites, and empirically test how these differences manifest across policy areas.
Moland, M. (2024). Past Political Asymmetry and Present Public Opinion: How Has the Asymmetrical Federation of the EU Shaped Popular Opinion of Its Optimal Shape? Publius: The Journal of Federalism.
Asymmetries in the formal obligations and rights afforded to sub-units are mainstays of many federations that have been extensively studied from many angles. However, we know relatively little about how these asymmetries shape views on federalism in the future. By leveraging data on differentiated integration in the European Union (EU), conceptually very similar to asymmetrical federalism, and survey data on attitudes toward the optimal future of it, I show that historical exposure to differentiated integration resulting from a bottom-up process of demands for sub-unit autonomy correlates to increased support for permanent differentiation in the future, especially among those critical of the EU. However, the opposite applies to differentiation imposed by the EU. A legacy of asymmetric federalism may thus breed opposition or support for unitary European federalism, depending on both the mode of past asymmetry that citizens have been exposed to and their views of the EU.
Moland, M. and Michailidou, A. (2023). Testing causal inference between social media news reliance and (dis)trust of EU institutions with an Instrumental Variable Approach: Lessons from a null-hypothesis case. Political Studies Review.
Given the well-documented negativity bias and attitudinal entrenchment associated with sharing and debating news in social media, a reasonable and already substantially investigated assumption is that those getting news about the EU mostly from social media would be more sceptical of its institutions than others. Empirical research on this topic has thus far largely deployed experimental and observational methods to investigate this assumption. We contribute to the existing literature with an Instrumental Variable Approach well-suited to establishing causal relationships in non-experimental data. However, we find no blanket causal relationship between relying on social media for news about the EU polity and becoming less trustful of its institutions. EU policies aiming to tackle negative effects of social media news consumption, therefore, need to be tailored to different demographic groups.
Moland, M. (2023). Opting for opt-outs? National identities and support for a differentiated EU. JCMS: Journal of Common Market Studies.
A large literature investigates individual support for European integration. However, support for differentiated integration has only recently become an important topic of study for public opinion scholars. Previous literature on this issue has not probed how differentiated integration is shaped by exclusively national identities, and whether the effect varies by how differentiation has been framed. Using survey data from 2020–21, I show that exclusively national citizens are most likely to support differentiated integration that allows for greater national autonomy and may oppose differentiation whose primary goal it is to facilitate further integration. However, I find no clear link between elite framing of differentiated integration and popular support for it. This raises important questions both about what kind of differentiated integration will enjoy public legitimacy and how cues shape support for EU differentiation.
Moland, M. (2022). Constraining dissensus and permissive consensus: Variations in support for core state powers. West European Politics.
One of the key features of the post-Maastricht Treaty EU is the increasing contestation of its integration. This is often attributed to the EU's increasing integration of politically salient policy areas core to state functioning, so-called "core state powers" (CSPs). These are often thought to have features making their integration particularly likely to be contested. However, whether this equally applies to all core state powers, and whether those with exclusively national identities express generally identical support for all forms of CSP integration, is under-investigated. Using Eurobarometer data from 2019–2021, this article shows that those with no European identity are more likely to oppose CSP integration where it constrains member states' domestic, rather than external, autonomy. This implies that an emerging constraining dissensus may be less of a challenge for the EU's increasing foreign policy integration, but that it may hinder further integration of domestic core state power integration.
Book chapters
Moland, M. and Michailidou, A. (2024). ‘United, we tweet’: Belonging and solidarity in German and Greek Twitter-spheres. In: Fossum, J.E. and Batora, J. (eds) EU Differentiation and the Question of Domination: From the Financial Crisis to COVID-19. Routledge.
The question of what characterises the European public sphere, and whether one exists in the first place, has been a topic of flourishing academic debate for many years. Concomitant with the rise of social media such as Twitter and Facebook, the focus has shifted to exploring how social media can be used to encourage a European public sphere that is fully transnational in nature. Our paper contributes to this literature by focusing on the transnationalisation of the public sphere in the context of European integration under conditions of crisis. Using a topic modelling approach, we map the topics of German and Greek Twitter-sphere surrounding the refugee crisis of 2015–2016 and the COVID-19 crisis of 2020–2021, exploiting the multilingual nature of Twitter discourses in the two countries to investigate transnationalization and Europeanization of discourses both in domestic-language and English-language tweets in the two countries.
Working papers and pre-prints
Moland, M. (2026). Do austerity programs strengthen nationalist sentiment? Evidence from the European Union Preprint.
Austerity programs have a well-known detrimental impact on health, economic security and political trust. However, less is known about whether internationally imposed austerity translates to a defensive nationalism that may solidify opposition to the same international institutions. This paper investigates this broader question through the lens the European sovereign debt crisis. Using data on national and European identity between 1983-2021, I show that austerity seems to have strengthened national identities immediately after the austerity packages were imposed, but that the effects subsided quickly. I also find that this effect was most meaningful where austerity had the most severe economic and social impact. My results suggest that international institutions' attempts to impose fiscal conditionality may end up undermining the identification that they rely on for popular legitimacy in the longer run.
Moland, M. and Michailidou, A. News, Misinformation and Support for the EU: Exploring the Effect of Social Media as Polarising Force or Neutral Mediators.
As social media platforms have become a staple news source for many EU citizens, we model repurposed Eurobarometer data from 27 EU member states to explore the possible polarising effects of social media use on public opinion about European integration. In a first step, we investigate whether social media use is correlated with decreased trust in the EU. In a second step, we probe the link between social media news consumption, fake news and polarisation by expanding the cross-sectional analysis with EU level analyses of the interaction between social media use and fake news. Our research paper finds no significant correlation between social media use and increased Euroscepticism at either step. We argue that this lack of significant social media effects at the aggregate level is an argument for why future research on social media effects should incorporate measures of these effects at both the individual and societal level.
